Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Edwards Withdrawl--
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Barack Obama responds to State of the Union
Monday, January 28, 2008
Kathleen Sebelius
I do not know the order in which these decisions are made but it seems the timing of her endorsement and her selection as the speaker to follow the president suggests that there is some deeper scheming going on in the core of the Democratic party.
So, does her selection suggest a stronger support growing in the democratic leadership for Obama's candidacy? And if so, given the perception of the Gvernor as a rising star in the party, what would she bring to an Obama ticket in '08?
I still like Richardson in that role and believe he brings depth, an ability to play to the right and his connection to the latino community as serious strengths.
Sunday, January 27, 2008
The Democratic side of this election
My point in this post. Edwards is saying he will not drop out of the race, that he's in it until the convention. I guess time and money will tell on that but if he does stay in until the convention what's your opinion on why and what is his strategy? The media is saying he could be a "king-maker" and if that's the case who do you think will be the beneficiary?
Please participate in the sidebar poll about the future of "A Page That Aches"
Here are some recent picures of Bailey...
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Could This Man Solve Hillary's Problems?
Don't get me wrong- I want to see the primaries play out and still believe Obama to be preferable to Hillary. But if Ford were older I would prefer him to the other two.
Friday, January 25, 2008
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
As If We Didn't Know (click)
Sunday, January 20, 2008
The Bill and Hillary Show
I remain convinced that a Mitt Romney or John McCain or Mike Huckabee or even Guiliani would rather face Hillary Clinton than face Barrack Obama. I believe this to be true because any pundit with an 'R' behind their name has been presuming Clinton to be the candidate for the past three years and they all talk (with supposed candor) about what a hard opponent she would be to face. But, after years of Clinton bashing, how can we believe this attitude is sincere?
Isn't it more likely that, by ringing the 'inevitable' bell for Hillary, they believe they can con the masses into putting forth the candidate they can trash for almost a year and ultimately beat.
Whether this presumption is accurate or not remains to be seen. But Bill Clinton's attitude is not helping.
Twice now (New Hampshire and Nevada) Bill Clinton has gone into defense mode prior to the contests. He has criticized process, challenged procedures, attacked the media, attacked their closest rival and attacked the intelligence of their rivals supporters.
In both cases the Clintons ultimately triumphed in the contested state revealing his antics as altogether unnecessary. In the process, the media paints an image of a divided democratic party and the general electorate is reminded of a very negative side of an otherwise popular former president.
For me, Clinton Fatigue is real. To move this country in a new direction will take a leader with guts and vision. It will take a leader who can move beyond the rhetoric of the past.
Setting aside the qualities of any individual candidate I am concerned that the Republicans will make it difficult to get that message across. Further, it works to their advantage if they can change the discussion away from today's issues and dwell on the past.
Bill Clinton's soft underbelly makes him a delicious target for his enemies, especially the ones who sit on their fat buts in front of microphones for a living.
I have no doubt any candidate with a 'D' behind their name will have to endure endless attacks. It may throw the attack machine off their game a bit if they are required to write new material.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Norm Coleman is a One- Trick Pony
Maybe Coleman lacks the creativity or the courage (no balls) to try a fresh approach to campaigning. Or perhaps he is using this tired tactic because he has no record to run on.
Check out these ads--
The fluffy senator who currently holds that Minnesota seat responded with something about how mean spirited and negative Al is. Watch the ads and see if you agree. There is also a spot to contribute if you are so inclined.
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Romney in Michigan ---
Clinton was virtually unopposed in Michigan in a race that absolutely has no effect in the delegate count.
The debate is going on right now among the Democratic candidates. Ten minutes in I expect it to degrade into a hug fest.
My computer is low on power and my adapter is broken so I will reflect more on the debate tomorrow.
Thursday, January 10, 2008
My take on New Hampshire
Keith Olberman on Msnbc probably got this one right.
Last night he showed a sampling of 6 different polls that showed Obama taking in 35-37 percent of the vote. He ultimately took in 37%. Seems the polls could not have been better regarding Obama.
The polls got Clinton wrong. This would appear to suggest that the high voter turnout brought newcomers to Hillary's camp in larger numbers than the pollsters imagined.
So, there was no real surprise in New Hamshire for Obama. The media does enjoy these things. It gives them something to talk about in a 24 hour news cycle.
The reality after Tuesday is the same as it was before. Obamais front-runner on the Dem's side (from the standpoint of most delegates). Hillary and Barack are virtually tied in the National polls.
On the Republican side, Huckabee is the top delegate holder at this time. He is also fairing quite well according to the national polls.
My only hope is that people are taking the opportunity to check over all of the candidates so they can make an informed decision.
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
New Look
I have some thoughts on the NH outcome, will try to post them tomorrow.
Richardson to withdraw from Presidential Race
I also believe he would be a strong candidate as a VP nominee. He brings foreign policy cred as well as a demonstrated popularity among 'red state' people.
I will miss his contributions (however brief they were) to the debates.
Rudy Guliani should never be our president-
As mayor, watching the chaos that was 9/11 happening in his city, Rudy Guliani said "I thank God that George W Bush is our president."
I challenge the veracity of this "recollection." But even more frightening is this statement if it is true. Scarier still is the notion that anyone who is a serious contender for the white house would have admitted such a position in 2004- after GW Bush exploited 9/11 to get us into an ill-fated and unnecessary war in Iraq.
If you doubt me, watch the man speak the words for himself. At the time, I called him a seven letter compound word that was a favorite of candidate Bush when referring to a member of the the media. My assessment hasn't changed.
Guliani has demonstrated a consistent ability to exploit 9/11 that rivals even the current administration.
Tuesday, January 08, 2008
Rudy Guliani renames "War on Terror"
He may think that clever. He may even think that it is a more accurate assessment. But in reality, "Terrorist War on Us" implies that we are still the victims. It implies also that the terrorists are much more organized than the are (or should be after 6+ years of being supposedly thrown off their game by our effective Iraq strategy).
I hope this new name doesn't pick up momentum. Whatever Rudy's advisors think they are achieving by doing this I fear a very negative outcome (which may in fact be their plan). If our leaders can place us once again in the position of victim of the world ( a tough sell on the global stage) they can justify, as recent history suggests, just about any atrocity against created enemies simply by lumping them in to this nebulous 'terrorist' label.
There are many, many reasons to not vote for Guliani. Add this scary rhetoric to the list.
Monday, January 07, 2008
Presidential Campaign Humor
"Norm Coleman Has No Balls"
By Michael B. Brodkorb December 19, 2007
The Republican Party of Minnesota has released a press release blasting comments made by Larry David about U.S. Senator Norm Coleman while David was speaking at a fundraiser for Al Franken's campaign.
St. Paul - Republican Party of Minnesota Chairman Ron Carey today issued the following statement regarding Hollywood liberal Larry David’s negative personal attacks on Senator Norm Coleman and Al Franken’s response.
"Last night at a ritzy fundraiser for Al Franken in Minneapolis, Hollywood liberal Larry David personally attacked Senator Norm Coleman in language offensive to all Minnesotans. Franken promised he would run a positive, issue oriented campaign but his laughing reaction to David’s personal attacks again shows why he lacks the maturity, temperament and judgment necessary for the U.S. Senate."
###
Click here to watch video of Larry David’s attack on Senator Norm Coleman and Al Franken’s response: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3EmPYkCr8Q
Coleman and his brainless followers claim to be engaging in a serious campaign. Yet, they are going to spend the next ten months - first flooding us with and then commenting on - such mundane drivel.
Apparently, It is Al Franken's fault that Larry David said what he said. And worse yet, Al laughed. No speculation on whether this was the kind of uncomfortable laugh one might engage in when a guest makes an off color joke in front of the children. And one might also comment on the hypocrisy of a Republican- the ilk who support the vile spewing Dick Cheney ( remember his "f-bomb' on the senate floor) or the brasen attitude of ol' W. "He's an Asshole!"
Larry David, by contrast, said that "Norm Coleman, on the other hand, has no balls... he doesn't even have one ball." As a comedian supporting a friend and apparenntly speaking to entertain the crowd he said, "Norm Coleman, on the other hand, has no balls... "
Something before hand, such as the context in which this comment is offered, must make it very amusing because on its own it is just not so funny. The indication that something else exists is the "on the other hand' part of the quote.
I had the opportunity to attend this supposedly glamorous high -dollar fundraiser but had a scheduling conflict. I think it was for contributors who contributed $100 or more. It was nothing like the $1500/person handshake with the Prez that Coleman put on last summer. If it were the sort of high end fundraiser that the GOP is implying I would not have even known about it.
Follow the link to see for yourself- although I have described the clip and the quote pretty accurately- and you will see this is a something of nothing moment of the part of Coleman- who is obviously running scared. Perhaps as a result of his ball deficit. But maybe not.
If the clip is to be taken on its face and indeed there was not some double meaning or other way that the quote becomes more humorous, it is fair to say that the attack is unfounded.
I have not seen Norm Coleman's balls, nor would I want to. But I can assume they are probably there. What else could Cheney be holding on to that would make Norm such a puppet for this current administration?
Sunday, January 06, 2008
ABC Debates last night
Edwards, Obama and Clinton all looked and sounded great. Of course my first choice would be Edwards, then Obama and then Hillary but I will have to say that I would be happy and could live with any of them in the White House.
My ticket choice would be Edwards/Obama but it would more than likely be Obama/Edwards but in saying that I don't know if Obama would pick Edwards since he was on a losing ticket just four years ago and even if he did Edwards has continually said he would not take a VP offer.
I watched the Republican debate as well and again was impressed with Huckabee. I think this guy is for real. Like Jon if I were to vote Republican (very, very unlikel) he would be my choice if for no other reason than I think he's a honest man and I like his way with words, his personality and his humor.
Saturday, January 05, 2008
Inside An Iowa Caucus
Inside an
I’m a big supporter of John Edwards. I caucused for him in 2004 and again this past Thursday. The difference this time was that I was a precinct captain for Edwards, which means that it was my job to gather all of the Edward’s supporters that were in my precinct on caucus night and then represent them during the meeting.
How did I become a captain? In 2004 I did a lot of volunteering for John Edwards – phone calls, mailings and a little bit of on foot canvassing. This time around I didn’t do as much – very busy at work, we just moved into a new home in September so I’ve been kept busy decorating and then add to that some minor health problems. So a couple of weeks ago I was finally able to do a little bit of volunteering on the phone. I made calls from a union hall in
Well, last Thursday, the day of the caucus, I received a phone call at around noon asking me if I would be willing to be the precinct captain because the woman who was going to do just didn’t want the responsibility. I hesitated because my nephew was a captain for Edwards at another precinct and I knew that he had went to at least one meeting teaching him what he needed to do. They assured me I could do it and that I would have help from a volunteer who was here from
I left work a little early so I could go to a local union hall to pick up my packet of “stuff” for the caucus. There was an Edwards’s campaign office in downtown
Now on to the caucus itself. I live in a suburb of
The rules of the Democratic caucus state that everyone who wants to participate in the caucus has to be inside the building at the precinct site by 7:00 PM because at 7:00 PM the doors are locked, no one else is allowed in at that point. The doors actually open at 6:00 but because I was a precinct captain we were allowed in at 5:30. I arrived early because I wanted Edwards’s signs, buttons, flyers, stickers etc there for his supporters and I wanted to get all of that organized, which I did. I set everything up in the far back corner of the room, got a table and got some chairs set up in my area.
Remember me telling you earlier that I was supposed to have an Edwards volunteer from
At 6:00 voters were allowed in the doors. The first thing we all had to do was to sign in. If your name is on the list the county provided to our precinct then all you have to do is to sign up and indicate who, if anyone, you are supporting. If you haven’t decided you leave that blank and then you are considered an “undecided.” If someone came in as an Independent or Republican then they had to re-register as a Democrat knowing that they can change back later. Of course along with myself there were precinct captains there for all the other candidates as well. I guess I need to clarify that – there were just three of us. One each for Clinton, Obama, Richardson and then of course Edwards. There was nobody there for Dodd or Biden.
Part of my job as captain was to greet those that were there for Edwards and get them back to our little area of the room. There was such a big crowd that the signing in took a lot longer than the organizers planned so before everyone got signed in and in there candidates area (those undecided stayed together) the precinct chairperson brought the meeting to order. The “business” part of the caucus probably took about 15 minutes. During that time they explained the caucus rules and took questions. One of those rules are that before we begin the voting process anyone who is in the room as a visitor, meaning they were not an Iowa registered voter, had to leave the candidates area and go the front of the room by the precinct chair person. So those who brought kids or other visitors were then separated which meant that my helper from
In the Democratic caucus each candidate has to become “viable” for their votes to count. Viability means that they have to have enough votes to meet 15% of the total voters at that caucus. In our caucus site there were 237 voters (double of what it was in 2004) which means that each candidate had to have at least 36 votes (they round up) to have their candidate counted. This is done in 3 steps/3 votes.
Before I get the steps involved I just have to comment on the excitement and enthusiasm that was present in each candidates group, although because we had more people we were louder than the others. Someone started a chant, “Go John Go.” And it just kept getting louder and louder. Then Obama’s people started saying “Obama Oh 8” and it kept getting louder and louder. Someone on our group started “John Edwards is our man” and it just got louder and louder. And this went on off and on all evening.
After the visitors were moved to the front of the room the chair person gave each candidate 10 minutes to come up with our first vote. Well, it was obvious from the very start that Edwards had more people there than the other candidates which made it difficult to get an exact count. One of the Edwards supporters was an older guy who has lived in
So after the first vote the precinct chair person gave all the groups 15 minutes to try increase their votes by trying to convince people in other candidates groups change candidates. And of course the one really trying to do this was
After the 2nd vote we actually increased our number to 79 – we had pulled a couple of people from the
During the 3rd vote it got even crazier because everyone knew this vote would be the final one. We had another 15 minutes and we had decided that we didn’t want to count everyone again so we set up 3 people who acted as gatekeepers for our Edwards group. As we convinced others to join us they the gatekeepers kept everyone we already had behind them and as others joined us they added them to the 79 we knew we had. At the beginning of the 3rd vote there were still about 25 people who were either for
There is a calculation process they use to come up with the delegates and after we did all of that Edwards had 3 delegates going to the Polk County Convention and there were 2 delegates each for Clinton and Obama.
After the votes were counted and verified each precinct captain had to call in the total votes and delegate number into their candidates’ headquarters. In addition the chair had to report those same numbers to the state and then someone somewhere matches them all up.
The last step was to nominate the delegates to the county convention. The two young men I spoke of earlier volunteered along with another man who was maybe 45 years old. Now those three will go to the county convention this summer.
Back to Marie. During this whole thing she was at the front of the room watching this all take place. After it was over she came over and gave everyone big hugs and was extremely happy with the outcome. She asked me and my sister who was with me to come to the party at the hotel but we didn’t go. I did give her ride to the hotel and on the way there I learned a lot more about her. She is an attorney in
So there you have it - a view of an
Excuse my typos and any other mis-steps I may have made.
Friday, January 04, 2008
Okay, this is disturbing...
I found this little posting on another board and could feel my blood begin to boil.
"They are starting way to early, and neither party has a favorite candidate. Winners will change from state to state. I just wish we had some one really strong and experienced in world politics as well as a good financial background and strong (not a flip flopper)on border control! For whatever reason, none of these people appeal to me. I hope things look up as time goes on. Just my .02!"
Perhaps things got started earlier because people are so fed up with a completely non responsive government that has trampled on our rights at every turn.
With fifteen contenders between the two main parties I find it astonishing that anyone could say they don't have a favorite. There might be concerns about each individual but we certainly have had ample opportunity to learn about who these people are.
That having been said, I am not at all surprised by the outcome in Iowa. Both Obama and Huckabee are well spoken, warm and charming, likeable and appear thoughtful. Both have been critical of the current administration as well.
I am singularly impressed with Huckabee's ability to criticize his opponents- on both sides- while still demonstrating (what seems to be) genuine respect for those same individuals.
Both Obama and Huckabee are consistent in their message about changing the way politics is done.
If you have been living in a cave and don't have opinions about a slate of people who have been on the road and in the press- and in our living rooms-for an unprecedented amount of time, stop complaining and use your computer, tv or news paper.
The process, as long as it has become, provides us with (what is still) the best opportunity in the world to shape our own future.
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Huckabee and Obama win in Iowa
I was also commenting earlier that if I had to vote for a Republican it would be (at this time) Huckabee.
Now, it is very clear that this is nowhere hear finished. Both the Republicans and the Democrats are in very tight races. So, for political junkies, this is going to be a fun couple of months.
Now let's suppose- as I am sure it will be presented in various ways- that Huckabee and Obama go head to head in November. I have no idea what the outcome of that election woud be but I believe it would be an interesting conversation.
I am sure I will have more to say later- but for now- let the fun begin.
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Bigger, Longer, Better -- Fresh
Leno wrote his own material for the monologue which went longer than it usually does. He was fresh and was obviously more committed to the material. It wasn't fall- on- the- floor funny, but it didn't suck either.
He followed up with a spontaneous 'questions from the audience' segment. The answers didn't always match the questions but you got a sense of what Leno is probably like on the road.
I hope the writers get a fair contract. I also understand the need to get all the other people back to work. If the first half hour of this show is any indication I think we might see a long overdue evolution of the format that has been too common place for too long.